Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.117127 0.130566 0.144321 0.159413 0.175469 0.192002 0.210278
2024-10-27 0.097740 0.116174 0.135769 0.158017 0.182445 0.208329 0.237708
2024-11-03 0.085297 0.107223 0.131295 0.159404 0.191053 0.225335 0.265025
2024-11-10 0.077095 0.101845 0.129792 0.163206 0.201613 0.243951 0.293735
2024-11-17 0.068212 0.094689 0.125423 0.163008 0.207042 0.256366 0.315174
2024-11-24 0.062877 0.091167 0.124796 0.166708 0.216590 0.273192 0.341424
2024-12-01 0.057066 0.086497 0.122329 0.167824 0.222796 0.285940 0.362843
2024-12-08 0.051308 0.081386 0.118897 0.167403 0.226872 0.295979 0.380960
2024-12-15 0.046844 0.077572 0.116766 0.168297 0.232306 0.307451 0.400638
2024-12-22 0.042131 0.073037 0.113396 0.167371 0.235300 0.315864 0.416597
2024-12-29 0.039607 0.071304 0.113495 0.170690 0.243416 0.330348 0.439736
2025-01-05 0.036323 0.068233 0.111618 0.171307 0.248047 0.340546 0.457717
2025-01-12 0.032874 0.064757 0.109128 0.171148 0.251823 0.349919 0.475042
2025-01-19 0.029318 0.060827 0.105789 0.169690 0.253820 0.357033 0.489608
2025-01-26 0.027010 0.058627 0.104717 0.171142 0.259470 0.368623 0.509623
2025-02-02 0.025652 0.057821 0.105551 0.175120 0.268366 0.384263 0.534643
2025-02-09 0.023229 0.055066 0.103412 0.174913 0.271724 0.392931 0.551081
2025-02-16 0.022098 0.054385 0.104254 0.178781 0.280418 0.408320 0.575859
2025-02-23 0.020368 0.052518 0.103219 0.179948 0.285489 0.419109 0.594945
2025-03-02 0.018397 0.050039 0.101120 0.179508 0.288341 0.427033 0.610444
2025-03-09 0.016903 0.048290 0.100042 0.180442 0.292986 0.437223 0.628780
2025-03-16 0.015128 0.045828 0.097716 0.179474 0.294981 0.443962 0.642759
2025-03-23 0.014388 0.045320 0.098455 0.182943 0.303010 0.458497 0.666595